ORACLE v9 delivers r = 0.40 out-of-sample correlation with NQH2O water futures
Powered by 6.4M proprietary sensor readings from California farmland
Out-of-sample validation on 2023-2024 holdout data
Tested on data the model never saw during training (2023-2024 holdout)
6 out of 6 years with correct directional signal (2018-2024)
9+ years of proprietary soil sensor data from 109 California sites
2022: Regime filter avoided losses during extreme market conditions
Proprietary data meets validated methodology
50% of signal from IrriMAX soil sensors - data competitors cannot access
50% from SWP allocations, snowpack forecasts, and reservoir levels
Neighbor check, temporal holdout, and permutation testing
Fresh signal delivered via API every market day at 6:00 AM PT
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